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But now that extra spending money is gone, economists are concerned about what comes next. That means many Americans have more debt than savings and suggests “that American households fully spent their pandemic-era savings as of March 2024,” they wrote in a recent report. Consumer spending plays a crucial role in driving economic growth in the United States, and it has shown remarkable strength over the past two years. “A continuing strong labor market could help consumers maintain spending patterns similar to those observed recently, even without pandemic-era savings,” they wrote. What comes next: Disney, Airbnb, Uber, Anheuser-Busch, Tapestry and Dillards all report later this week — investors will look for any comments about how consumer spending, or lack thereof, is altering revenue forecasts for 2024.
Persons: Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz Edgard Oliveira, , Austan Goolsbee, ’ ”, Fitch, Sarah Wyeth, Chris Kempczinski, Abdelrahman, Airbnb, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Greg Abel, Buffett, , Abel, isn’t, Boeing “, Scott Stocker, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, San Francisco Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, Society for, , Shoppers, Tyson Foods, , Disney, Anheuser, Busch, Berkshire, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, FAA, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, CNN Locations: New York, United States, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, scamming
At his annual shareholder meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, the 93 year-old co-founder, chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway issued a stark warning about the potential dangers of the technology. “We let a genie out of the bottle when we developed nuclear weapons,” he said Saturday. JPMorgan Chase, the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, is also exploring the potential of generative AI within its own ecosystem, Dimon said. Dozens of AI industry leaders, academics and even some celebrities have signed a statement warning of an “extinction” risk from AI. “Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war,” the statement said.
Persons: New York CNN — Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, , Greg Abel, Buffett, , Abel, isn’t, Buffett Buffett, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Sonnenfeld, Doug McMillion, James Quincy, Sam Altman, Geoffrey Hinton Organizations: New, New York CNN, Berkshire, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, scamming, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, Software, Yale, Summit, CNN, Walmart, Xerox, Google Locations: New York, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, scamming
JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, is exploring the potential of generative AI within its own ecosystem, said Dimon. “Over time,” wrote Dimon, “we anticipate that our use of AI has the potential to augment virtually every job, as well as impact our workforce composition. First Republic purchaseJPMorgan acquired most of First Republic’s assets last May after the San Francisco-based regional bank was seized by the government. Dimon wrote those odds are far too optimistic. “Small changes in interest rates today may have less impact on inflation in the future than many people believe,” he said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, ” Dimon, Organizations: New, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Software, San, First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Markets, Traders, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Republic, San Francisco, Silicon
New York CNN —Dealmaking is big business on Wall Street. That made Goldman responsible for nearly a third of the total global M&A advisory market last year. But there are fits and starts to today’s market. What do the fits and starts mean? I go back to fits and starts with good underlying trends that momentum builds, but it’s not going to be a straight line.
Persons: New York CNN —, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Stephan Feldgoise, we’re, we’ve, it’s, Jamie Dimon, , Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Retail, JPMorgan Chase, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Software, New Locations: New York, Oregon, Michigan, Arizona , Delaware, Florida , Iowa , Massachusetts, Wyoming
In a Sunday blog post, IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva called for governments to establish social safety nets and offer retraining programs to counter the impact of AI. As AI continues to be adapted by more workers and businesses, it’s expected to both help and hurt the human workforce, Georgieva noted. In more developed economies, for example, as much as 60% of jobs could be impacted by AI. AI became a hot topic at the WEF in Davos last year as ChatGPT took the world by storm. Georgieva, in her blog post, also cited opportunities to boost output and incomes around the world with the use of AI.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, , Georgieva, ChatGPT, Goldman Sachs, “ Let’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Economic, Locations: Hong Kong, Davos, Switzerland, India, Brazil, Burundi, Sierra Leone
IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva says AI will impact roughly 40% of global employment. She expects advanced economies to be more affected than emerging markets and developing economies. AdvertisementIMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva predicts that AI will affect roughly 40% of jobs worldwide. This is because of AI's "ability to impact high-skilled jobs," Georgieva said. In comparison, Georgieva expects emerging markets and developing economies to "face fewer immediate disruptions from AI."
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, , Georgieva, Goldman Sachs, Annesh Raman, Raman, Molly Wood Organizations: Service, IMF, Business Insider
Job seekers using free AI programs like ChatGPT are asking the programs to tailor their resumes to a specific employer and job description, write cover letters, create writing samples and provide answers on job applications, according to Gartner, a research and consulting firm. Job candidates also can use it to help prepare for interview questions, should they get to that stage. “Use AI as a tool, but don’t use it as your only tool. “AI may not be as good in highlighting transferrable skills or telling the narrative of why you want to change careers. The best and most common way people find their next job is through their network,” Haller said.
Persons: , Darci Smith, David Timis, ” Smith, Smith, Jamie Kohn, ” Kohn, you’re, You’re, Stacie Haller, Haller, , Kohn, It’s, ” Haller Organizations: New, New York CNN, Gartner, CNN, Roklyn Consulting, Google Locations: New York, Timis
We didn't see the internet coming, but AI is within viewThe adoption of groundbreaking technology is often hard to predict. The World Economic Forum estimated 83 million jobs worldwide would be lost over the next five years because of AI, with 69 million jobs created — that leaves 14 million jobs that will cease to exist during that timeframe. In the US, the knowledge-worker class is estimated to be nearly 100 million workers, one out of three Americans. The small and large compounding effects of productivity growth across many industries are central to the growth trajectory and the long-run effects of AI. This is an alarmingly trivial amount for an economy of $25 trillion GDP and over 150 million workers.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joseph Schumpeter, Bill Gates, David Letterman, Paul Krugman, Erik Brynjolfsson, , Brynjolfsson, Robert Solow, Robert Gordon, provocatively, It's, Gordon, David Autor, Maria Flynn, Flynn, , Georgia –, Emil Skandul, Tony Blair Organizations: McKinsey, Newsweek, Stanford University, Microsoft, Amazon, Cisco, Economic, International Labor Organization, Organization for Economic Co, Development, MIT, Congressional, Office, Department of Labor, Tony Blair Institute Locations: Washington, Singapore, New York, Georgia
$12 billion HR startup Deel is facing calls for a California Secretary of Labor investigation. Multiple California state senators criticized Deel for misclassifying workers, citing reporting from Insider. The company is heavily reliant on independent contractors, Insider previously reported. A California senator is calling for the state's Secretary of Labor to investigate Deel, a buzzy San Francisco-based HR startup valued $12 billion, over "brazen employment misclassification." 17 current or former Deel workers had told Insider in March that they had concerns the company may be misclassifying contract workers' employment status.
Persons: Deel, Stewart Knox, Stephen Padilla, Andreessen Horowitz, Emerson, Alex Bouaziz, Padilla, Dave Cortese, María Elena Durazo, We've, Thomas Lenz Organizations: Labor, Morning, Labor and Workforce Development Agency, Contractors, Senate Labor, Public, Global Employment, University of Southern California Gould School of Law Locations: California, San Francisco, Canada, Australia, France, Germany, Spain, Greece, Brazil, Turkey, India, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Philippines, Nigeria
Insider spoke with more than 30 current or former Deel workers about the HR company's extraordinary rise, and the unconventional tactics that made it possible. "I think if you talk to anyone, they would say that Alex is the face but all decisions run through Phillipe," one former Deel worker told Insider. "They lose every employment and labor protection," Valerio De Stefano, a professor at Osgoode Hall Law School, said of independent contractors. Alex Bouaziz, Deel on Centre Stage during day two of Collision 2022 at Enercare Centre in Toronto, Canada. The company didn't have an internal human-resources team until sometime in 2021, by which point it had grown to hundreds of people.
Global jobs growth will halve in challenging 2023: ILO
  + stars: | 2023-01-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
"The slowdown in global employment growth means that we don't expect the losses incurred during the COVID-19 crisis to be recovered before 2025," said Richard Samans, Director of the ILO's Research Department and coordinator of its newly published report. Progress in reducing the number of informal jobs in the world is also likely to be reversed in the coming years, the ILO said. The global jobs forecast is lower than the previous ILO estimate of 1.5% growth for 2023. "The current slowdown means that many workers will have to accept lower quality jobs, often at very low pay, sometimes with insufficient hours," ILO said. The situation could worsen further if the global economy slows down, ILO added.
Brendon O'Hagan/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesNew Zealand is at the sharp end of a global housing market squeeze that has grim ramifications for the world economy. “In an ideal world, you’ll get a bit of froth blown off the top [of house prices] and everything is fine. “A decisive increase in unemployment is a very big danger for housing markets,” said Slater of Oxford Economics. Qilai Shen/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesA drag on the economyMost market watchers are not expecting a repeat of the 2008 housing market crash. But even a modest a fall in house prices will knock confidence, causing homeowners to cut back on spending.
Overall, there were 40 million fewer full-time jobs between July-September than in the fourth quarter of 2019, which is used as the benchmark level before the COVID pandemic, it added. "On current trends, global employment growth will deteriorate significantly in the fourth quarter of 2022," the ILO said in its report on the World of Work. The report also said that excessive policy tightening could cause "undue damage to jobs and incomes in both advanced and developing countries". The ILO warned of declining job vacancies ahead and rising unemployment in the final months of the year. There are already signs that the labour market has cooled considerably in advanced economies, with sharp declines in vacancy growth, it said.
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